In this paper we concentrate on the consequences for the European stock market of a correction of the US Stock market. We explicitly consider the distinction between interdependence and contagion. We provide separate answers to the following questions: (i) is there long-term interdependence between US and Europe, i.e. does the equilibrium for European shares depend on the equilibrium for US shares ? (ii) Is there short-term interdependence and contagion between US and European stock markets, i.e do short term fluctuations of the US share prices spill over to European share prices and is such co-movement stable in occasion of the occurrence of high volatility episodes?
Author(s): Alessandra Bonfiglioli (Bocconi University and IEP), Carlo Ambrogio Favero(Bocconi University, IGIER and CEPR)